Monday, August 24, 2009

Chevy Volt's 230 MPG, view of an outsider

Chevy Volt's 230 MPG, view of an independent scientist
8/24/2009

General Motor just announced a 230 mile per gallon Chevy Volt on 8/11/2009, according to a press release of GM. For source please visit, GM press release.

Chevy Volt's 230 MPG is wrong

If an average 4-door sedan can go at 20 MPG, Chevy Volt's 230 MPG makes it 10X more efficient. Volt's overall efficiency will be over 100%. That is simply impossible. Something got to give.

I will try to explain the basis for those numbers. The following is a table on a gallon of gasoline's heating value and how EPA treats the value.
Terms Abbrev Energy values in Btu Gasoline-equivalent in Wh at 100% efficiency Relative values Notes
Lower heating value LHV 116,100 34,000 100% Water is vapor in the final state.
Higher heating value HHV 124,340 36,420 107% Water vapor condenses into liquid water, giving off extra heat.
EPA corporate average fuel economy CAFE 42,000 12,307 36% Assumes a reasonable conversion efficiency of 36% from heat to electricity.
EPA doesn't use petroleum incentive adjustment bonus EPA bonus 280,000 82,049 241% Bonus=6.6667*CAFE

A gallon of gasoline has a lower heating value or LHV at 116 mBtu, with a higher heating value (HHV) at 7% higher. The difference between LHV and HHV is the condensation energy of water vapor. HHV = LHV + water vapor condensation energy. EPA's corporate average fuel economy is at 42 mBtu, or 36% or LHV. This value assumes a reasonable conversion efficiency of 36% from heat to electricity. Generally electricity is made from a coal power plant, not from gasoline. Currently, modern coal utility boiler efficiency is 34%. By comparison, natural gas combined cycle turbine efficiency can be as high as 53%. For a vehicle doesn't use petroleum, EPA oddily has an incentive adjustment bonus of 6.6667 times CAFE. For this value is 280 mBtu/gallon or 82 kWh/gallon.

The next table assumes 25 kWh per 100 mile, which is reported in the GM press lease

Terms Abbreviations Energy values in Btu GGasoline-equivalent in Wh at 100% efficiency MPG at Efficiency at 25 kWh_plug/100 mile
Lower heating value LHV 116,100 34,000 136
Higher heating value HHV 124,340 36,420 146
EPA corporate average fuel economy CAFE 42,000 12,307 49
EPA doesn't use petroleum incentive adjustmentbonus
EPA bonus
280,000 82,049 328

The MPG is estimated from 49 to 328. As you can see, this number of MPG is totally depend on the gallon gasoline equivalent. The higher equivalent, the high MPG. For a gallon of gasoline, total heat is HHV at 124 mBtu. Convert this amount energy into electricity at 100% is 36 kWh and we get 146 MPG. Laws of thermodynamics tell us that 100% conversion is impossible. With CAFE number, I get a 49 MPG. Using EPA bonus which is 6.6667*CAFE =328 MPG. Those MPGs are also show below in a picture.



But wait a minute, a gallon is a gallon. You have to decide how much energy you can get out of a gallon gasoline. To me, as a scientist, the value is 42 mBtu or 49 MPG for Chevy Volt which reported 25 kWh/100 mile. 49 MPG is not shabby at all, and actually it is a super good number. I can tell you how difficult to increase mileage just by 1 MPG. You are talking about a leap from 20 MPG to 50 MPG, that is a revolution. But how GM spins it is just poor management.


How did GM get to 230 MPG














































How
does GM got the 230 MPG?
MPGMile driven in a
testing
WeightContributing MPG
Energy stored in battery3281267%219
Energy from gasoline49633%16
MPG reported by GM 230
235









1 comment:

GE said...

50 MPG for Chevy Volt is too conservative, but certainly not 230 MPG claimed by GM